PERDITE MILITARI GUERRA in UCRAINA

Video a cura del team di Parabellum con il contributo di Edoardo Fontana, 17/02/2026.

Fonti:

Live 555 sul canale youtube di Parabellum con tutte le fonti:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIwLi6j3sFA&t=5091s

Articolo Edoardo Fontana:

https://www.actabellica.it/ucraina/perdite-russe-2022-2025/

Mirko, [17/02/2026 08:36]
STIMA PERDITE RUSSE:
stima: https://x.com/EdoardoFontana7/status/2018384803351998552?s=20 (da revisionare, +20mila)
- military balance 2022 (effettivi a 1/2022, sia russi che separatisti)
- prova che coscritti non sono praticamente mai impiegati nel conflitto (0,002% delle perdite identificate) https://storage.googleapis.com/istories/news/2025/10/03/v-rezultate-operatsii-vsu-v-kurskoi-oblasti-pogibli-kak-minimum-60-soldat-srochnikov/index.html
- numero di coscritti in servizio a 1/2022 https://web.archive.org/web/20220216094722/https://www.kp.ru/daily/27257/4389527/ e https://web.archive.org/web/20220216094722/https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/12553063
- analisi allocamento di coscritti russi in diverse branche (nel 2017) https://russiandefpolicy.com/2017/05/06/where-conscripts-serve/
- mobilitazione parziale russa 2022 https://www.cna.org/reports/2024/10/Russian-Military-Mobilization-During-the-Ukraine-War.pdf pag.33
- solo ~12mila "volontari" reclutati in 2022 https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2023/07/22/theres-no-patriotism-to-be-found-there-en
- prigionieri reclutati da Wagner e MoD russo sino a agosto 2023 https://www.prisonlitigation.org/articles/wagner/
- 300 mila contratti regolari in 2023 (per Putin http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/75887) oppure 345mila (iStories https://istories.media/en/stories/2024/08/01/more-soldiers-at-all-costs/?tztc=1)
- analisi budget russo per conteggio reclutamento contratti regolari 2024 (https://janiskluge.substack.com/p/new-budget-data-russia-recruited) e 2025 (https://x.com/jakluge/status/2012155132046397941?s=20)
- possibilità di terminare contratto per unità "volontarie" russe https://www.currenttime.tv/a/dobrokor-voina-systema/33475518.html
- recrutamento unità "volontarie" 2024 (https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/8360359)
- i mobilitati del 2022 spinti a firmare contratti regolari (https://verstka.media/peace_negotiation_perpetual-contract_svo_news)
https://x.com/EdoardoFontana7/status/2018384803351998552
https://www.csis.org/analysis/russias-grinding-war-ukraine
https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2026-01/260127_Jones_War_Ukraine.pdf?VersionId=Ktl9nIJ7y6vMMVwx_41fvJ3uqRJMWxMn

Mirko, [17/02/2026 08:36]
STIME PERDITE UCRAINE:
https://ualosses.org/en/soldiers/
https://x.com/HavryshkoMarta/status/2020073762155044924
stima: https://x.com/EdoardoFontana7/status/2019472189481734470?s=20
military balance 2022 (effettivi a 1/2022)
1,050 milioni mobilitati a 29/10/24 https://kyivindependent.com/160-000-people-planned-to-be-drafted-into-ukrainian-forces-nsdc-secretary-says/
30mila mobilitati al mese in 2025 https://trueua.info/news/skilky-v-ukrayini-mobilizuyut-lyudey-shchomisyatsya-u-radi-nazvaly-tsyfry e https://trueua.info/news/skilky-lyudey-mobilizuyut-v-ukrayini-shchomisyatsya-nardep-rozkryv-dani e https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7DP39wPqZ24&t=265s
6500 volontari al mese in 2024 https://militarnyi.com/en/news/almost-8-500-volunteers-joined-the-armed-forces-of-ukraine-via-recruitment-over-the-year/?utm_source=chatgpt.com https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/09/20/7476078/ e 2025 https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-defense/3907898-around-6500-volunteers-join-defense-forces-every-month-ukraines-mod.html
800mila o 600mila che servono in forze armate ucraine volontariamente al 24/4/2025, per zelensky https://youtu.be/cVRuLaEJij0?si=Nv04VN84BlgeqvwD&t=2340
16mila volontari stranieri sino ad agosto 2025 https://thedefensepost.com/2025/08/05/foreigners-ukraine-armed-forces/?
32mila coscritti ucraini in servizio a momento invasione russa https://suspilne.media/194005-zelenskij-viznaciv-termini-vijskovih-prizoviv-ta-zvilnenna-v-zapas-na-2022-rik/
coscritti del 2021 demobilitati nel 2024 https://www.unian.ua/society/demobilizaciya-strokovikiv-na-zakarpatti-zvilnili-v-zapas-pershih-viyskovih-12593331.html
880mila effettivi forze armate ucraine a gennaio 2025 https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/defending-the-entire-territory-zelenskyy-1736951324.html oppure 980mila https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-military-is-980-000-soldiers-strong-zelensky-says/
800mila “dimensioni reali forze armate ucraine” a fine 2025 per Zelensky https://english.nv.ua/nation/us-plan-to-limit-ukraine-s-military-to-800-000-troops-50567859.html

EXTRA
incoerenza numeri ucraini su perdite russe: https://x.com/i/status/2014416353956929876